Elections in Iraq, Jan 2005
The elections in Iraq, Jan 30 2005 were surprisingly successful by most news accounts. Although the insurgent violence continued, and more than 40 people were killed, the Iraquis went to the polls. Here is a little from an Indian newspaper:
The GCP prediction was for a 12 hour period beginning with the opening of polls at 7:00 am. The Chisquare is 43687.5 on 43200 df, for p=0.049 and Z=1.655. The trace is interesting, because it is flat for several hours, until a little after noon, at which point the deviation becomes quite strong and persists until the end of the period. This follows the description of the voting: at first, the turnout was very sparse, as if people were testing the danger. But after a few hours the people came in droves, flooding many of the polling places.