The results of the London Bombings of July 7 approached our
expectations.
I believe, however, that one should also analyze the data collected on
July 6, when entire London celebrated its big win of the vote to stage
the
2012 Summer Olympic Games.
Thus, in a somewhat unexpected way, London dropped from ecstasy to agony
in less than 24 hours.and see again the mimosa-type syndrome.
Here is the report of the event of July 6, 2005:
LONDON AWARDED 2012 SUMMER OLYMPIC GAMES 050706
On July 6, London won the vote to host the 2012 Summer Olympic Games
after
the most bitterly fought battle in the Olympic history.
In the fourth ballot vote, London defeated the big favorite Paris by 54
to
50.
Jacques Rogge, the President of the International Olympic Committee
announced this outcome in Singapore at 11:45 UTC (12:45 London time), at
a
globally televised ceremony, which started two hours earlier, at 9:45
UTC
(10:45 London time).
Tens of thousands of London citizens assisted tensely the voting process
via a huge screen placed on Piccadilly Square and exclaimed in hurrah
when
the announcement was made. Even Prime Minister Tony Blair, who at the
time attended the G8 summit, had an immediate statement wired on TV,
welcoming London's great victory.
The entire city of London celebrated the event until late night.
I believe that one should analyze the results of July 6, between 10:45 -
16:45 London time (corresponding to 9:45 - 15:45 UTC) and also between
10:45 - 24:00 London time (corresponding to 9:45 - 23:00 UTC); thus, one
would cover the time span prior to the period analyzed for the events of
July 7.
After only 20 hours from this important success, a series of 4 bomb
attacks across the City, turned London from 'ecstasy to agony'
This succession of events that occurred in the same restrained
geographical area in less than 24 hours offer a very good (but also a
very
sad) opportunity to verify the so-called 'mimosa-type' syndrome.
The following figures show the GCP standard analysis for these times on
June 6, as cumulative deviations of the
squared Stouffer Z from expectation. There is a
marginally significant positive trend during the televized ceremony
during the hours preceding the announcement, but it falls off about
the time of the announcement, and thereafter the data look like a more or
less random walk.
