Global Orgasm for Peace
We began getting questions about GCP involvement in an event called "Global Orgasm for Peace". Here is how the organizers described it:
The indication that this was a GCP project was overenthusiastic, and I put a disclaimer on the Media Information page, but the positive intent and good humor was obvious. The Global Orgasm Day got lots of publicity, and though we don't know how widespread the interest and participation might have been, I decided to do a formal analysis.
Though I did not enter it into the formal event series, the 2nd Annual Global Orgasm was analysed as part of our explorations. It turns out to have a similar pattern to the 1st event, and approximately the same effect size. Will this pattern continue? Stay tuned.
The formal event time was specified as the whole day of the 22nd, in UTC time. The primary Stouffer Z analysis shows a positive outcome, but it is a mild trend. The trace shows a strong rise for a few hours, then a big drop until about 07:00 UTC after which the curve follows a zig-zag (up and down) for the rest of the 24 hours. The picture has a feeling of promise, but it is not possible to know whether the trend is evidence of a "signal" or not. As we have determined over years of analytical assessment, the signal to noise ratio in GCP data is very small, and for most categories of events it appears to be necessary to have dozens of replications to support reliable conclusions or interpretations. The statistical analysis for the Global Orgasm Day shows Chisquare 86667.4 on 86400 df for p=0.260 and Z=0.644.
Although there was some global distribution of the information and invitation to join in the Dec 22 event, it most likely was more attended in the US than the rest of the world. A look at the US eggs only shows a similar pattern, but with stronger upswing at the beginning of the GMT day for an hour, and then a steady positive trend for 10 hours beginning at noon GMT, which corresponds to 7:00 AM EST.