Kevin and Oliver's GC Index
This application is still in development, so be patient.
Brad Anderson wrote a java application to run on his server that pulls GCP/EGG data in near real time to display a summary statistic in a color index (see below). It has been revamped by Kevin Laighleas and Oliver McDermott. The application runs on A dedicated server, and is linked from the shaded dot on the GCP homepage. Here are some explanatory extracts from Brad's original description of the process.
The program creates a Chisquare for the most recent hour (the sum of 3600 seconds' Z² values). The probability of the Chisquare is then calculated. This value, representing the average departure of an hour of data from expectation, is recalculated each second in a sliding window, adding a new second and dropping the trailing second. Thus, the display changes very slowly, and gives an impression of the state of the network averaged over a substantial period.
The color coding represents the level of coherence or correlation among the eggs, which is reflected in the probability of the Chisquare. The expected level is about 50%, and big shifts in either direction are notable. The GCP's formal testing looks for increased interegg correlation, which is represented here by the warm colors, orange and red.
Please note that this display is not intended or expected to be interpreted as if it were a formal analysis using large amounts of data. In particular, it should not be construed as a preliminary indicator of what might be happening with the "global consciousness", and it certainly cannot be used as an early warning system about possible events.
It is just a composite display of a statistic that reflects the relative intercorrelation of the eggs, and it cannot be reliably interpreted. The reason is that the best data we have, based on sophisticated analysis, shows that the signal to noise ratio is too small for any single event or brief data segment to be meaningful. What we see in analysis of a few minutes or hours is partly signal but mostly noise, and the noise cannot be distinguished from a possible signal -- until we compound 30 or 40 events or the equivalent of many hours to days of data. The dot is an interesting display of the current state, and is in fact the product of real-time analysis, but it isn't suitable for drawing interpretive conclusions.
All that said, we can make some suggestions about the meaning of the colors: