Bush Inauguration

The Inauguration of President Bush took place on January 20, 2001, with the actual event occurring at 12:02, Washington time. Though the weather was cold and rainy, it was held outdoors with many dignitaries present. This was an event of greatest interest to Americans, but because of the US influence in the world, was likely given lots of attention by people elsewhere. The formal prediction, based on the schedule of events, was for an hour centered on the swearing in ceremony, and specifically that the data collected during this event would deviate from expectation. As the following figure shows, it did indeed do so, although in the opposite direction from our expectation for Global Events. The probablility of the deviation is 0.879, the rough equivalent of 1 in 10 odds, which isn't very unusual. However, the steadiness of the trend is noteworthy. It begins an upturn just after Bush's acceptance speech, which was the last major event in the ceremony.

Bush Inauguration


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