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I was pleased that the US government did not rush to "bomb them into the
stone age" as the public wisdom had it for a brief time. Instead, there
was commendable effort to think deeply, and see what would be the most
effective course of action in responding to the terrorist attacks of
September 11. It was not to last.
Date: Mon, 8 Oct 2001 12:27:01 -0400 (EDT)
From: rdnelson
To: Roger D. Nelson
Subject: prediction
On October 7 2001, apparently at 12:30 EDT, the US began attacks
on Afghani sites, followed at about 13:00 by food/medicine drops.
I am traveling, and have no access to the prediction registry, so
am writing this note from the public library in North Platte NE
to establish the parameters. The prediction is for a period
beginning at 12:00 and continuing for 8 hours (1600 to 2400 GMT)
seconds resolution, medium confidence, standard analysis.
The result (which is being checked by Peter Bancel) is a positive trend
that does not reach significance. The Chisquare is 28975 on 28800 df,
with p = 0.232.
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